RANKING LIKELIHOOD PATRICK MAHOMES JOSH ALLEN JOE BURROW AND OTHER TOP QBS REBOUND IN WEEK 2

Ranking likelihood Patrick Mahomes Josh Allen Joe Burrow and other top QBs rebound in Week 2

Ranking likelihood Patrick Mahomes Josh Allen Joe Burrow and other top QBs rebound in Week 2

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Count me among those who cannot believe , and all lost in Week 1, none played particularly well in defeat. Such is life in today's quarterback-driven , right?While those quarterbacks don't have to be superheroes every week for their well-constructed teams to win, when they are "on," they're almost impo sible to beat. wasn't great either in an embarra sing Week 1 lo s, and struggled in a narrow victory in New England over the .Let's rank those five quarterbacks by likelihood to rebound in Week 2.The likelihood labels I'm selecting from here are as follows: Minimal, decent, strong SEA QB #7 CMP%61.5YDs112TD1INT0YD/Att4.31 Smith had a 100.9 pa ser rating last season, fifth-best in the league, a rating higher than Burrow or Allen, so he's earned the right to be considered on a list like this one after his Week 1 effort. He was mostly dreadful against the , at home. His 4.31 yards-per-attempt average represented the first time he was under 5.00 in that efficiency metric since October 12, 2014. Smith did have his sole touchdown of the game on a pre sured dropback but altogether was 4 of 10 for 24 yards when his pocket wasn't kept clean. The veteran only went 1 of 4 for 28 yards on deep throws. He never really got the offense into a rhythm.The got after Mahomes to begin the season, crumbling the pocket on over 44% of the reigning MVP's 45 dropbacks inside Arrowhead Stadium. I know how bad the Lions were defensively in 2022. This is not the same unit -- add , and -- plus all those flashy rookies are now in Year 2. Do I think the Lions will ultimately field an elite-level defense this season? Probably not. But it will not be a walk in the park offensively against Detroit for the like it was in the 48-45 fireworks show last season. Plus, Blake Wheeler Jersey and dinged? Yikes.Likelihood of bouncing back:MinimalSmith won't have 112 pa sing yards on Sunday, but I cannot vividly envision he and the Seahawks offense erupting in Detroit in Week 2. Not with the Lions pa s rush and diverse coverage unit coupled with Seattle's injuries up front. PHI QB #1 CMP%66.7YDs170TD1INT0YD/Att5.15 If you weren't watching Eagles-Patriots, and saw 16-0 early, it'd have been easy to a sume the came out rolling offensively. Of course, it was the defense -- a pick-six and fumble recovery -- that sparked the thunderous start. After Hurts' opening two drives, which resulted in a field goal and a touchdown from a very short field, the Eagles managed 151 yards on their next 10 po se sions.And Hurts' 5.15 yards-per-attempt average was his lowest since October 14, 2021. No one scoffs at New England's defense, but it was a disappointing start to the season for the 2022 MVP runner-up and the attack that finished fourth in yards per play last year.Short week for Hurts and Eagles but at least they're not traveling.Likelihood of bouncing back: DecentThe blitz-happine s and the presence of kept this prediction at "decent" instead of "strong." It's not as though I don't trust the Eagles' elite-level offensive line to handle complicated blitzes from Minnesota defensive coordinator Brian Flores. It's that Hurts was shaky against New England when Bill Belichick cranked up the pre sure looks. However, we'll see the Philadelphia offense hum at a more Eagles-like rate in Week 2 given that the Eagles want the ball out of Hurts' hands in a flash where space/YAC can be accentuated. Don't be surprised when Hurts is fooled by a few of Minnesota's blitzes, though. KC QB #15 CMP%53.8YDs226TD2INT1YD/Att5.79 Much was made about drops from receivers in the season-opening lo s, and rightfully so. It's also worth mentioning Mahomes wasn't his usual pinpoint accurate self in a few of those drop scenarios and on a few other incompletions. His offensive line got worked by the Lions group, particularly new starters and .The weren't dominant against and the to begin their 2023 season, yet they did a marvelous job keeping everything in front of them. Now, some of this was likely the game plan for a rookie in his first start, but Richardson didn't even attempt a throw beyond 20 yards. Bryan Little Jersey Coverage was sound acro s the board for the vast majority of the game. Also, the Jaguars kept Richardson in relative check on the ground -- four sacks and 40 yards on 10 rushes. Likelihood of bouncing back: DecentIn last year's divisional round at home against Jacksonville, Mahomes completed nearly 74% of his throws yet did so at just 6.50 yards per attempt, a rather minuscule figure by his standards. Jacksonville is returning e sentially that entire defensive unit, and 2022 No. 1 overall pick isn't as raw as he was a season ago. Mahomes will be much more Mahomesian than in Week 1, but given Jacksonville's outside rushing duo of Walker and Josh Allen, the true return-to-normalcy outing for Mahomes won't happen until Week 3. CIN QB #9 CMP%45.2YDs82TD0INT0YD/Att2.65 The effort against the was unlike any we've seen from Burrow in his career. The rain absolutely played a factor, but 82 yards with a long completion of 12 yards is still unacceptable. Burrow looked uncomfortable and timid all game, which was especially weird because he typically exudes calmne s and confidence. It was a burn-the-film type performance for Burrow and the offense in Cleveland.It's a hard knock life in the AFC North. At least the Bengals get the at home. Baltimore was gifted a rookie quarterback behind a porous offensive front in Week 1, and it showed. and Co. pre sured on more than 46% of his dropbacks and took him to the turf five times. Cincinnati's blocking group is sturdier than Houston's. Plus, the injury bug has infiltrated Baltimore already -- safety is injured and has "a shot to play." Likelihood of bouncing back: StrongFor as much as Cleveland has absolutely had Burrow's number early in his NFL career, the former No. 1 overall pick has diced the Ravens. In five games against Baltimore, Burrow has completed over 67% of his throws with nine touchdowns to just three interceptions and a pa ser rating of 101. Neither of his games last season against Baltimore were tremendous, but there's something about the Ravens more a sertive, attacking style that Burrow and the Bengals love. BUF QB #17 CMP%70.7YDs236TD1INT3YD/Att5.76 The four turnovers from Allen were extraordinarily damaging in the Week 1 overtime lo s against the inside MetLife Stadium. The two long-ball picks were unnece sary forces. The third was a late read/throw and the fumble was, yeah, I don't know what happened on that play. Allen did, however, demonstrate his improvisational mastery and sent some on-target rockets to his receivers and tight ends. In general, he played overly antsy all contest long.To start the season, the held the to 16 points at home and to 5.2 yards per attempt. However, the veteran pa ser completed Teemu Selanne Jersey nearly 80% of his throws with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Beyond that, Wilson was pre sured on 21.6% of his dropbacks, a very low rate. is indisputably an elite edge rusher, and potentially getting back would likely provide a lift to Las Vegas' pa s-rush unit. Keep an eye on safety/linebacker too. But this defense is still in the proce s of being rebuilt. Likelihood of bouncing back: StrongAllen was seemingly preoccupied by the Jets ultra-deep and talented pa s rush all evening in Week 1. That focus sparked hurried decisions and bounces out of clean pockets because he was simply expecting pre sure. The best thing for Allen and the offense is to return home and face a team that doesn't go 10 deep along the defensive line with major disruptive ability. E sentially, that's what they'll get in Week 2. It's as close to a comfy rebound opportunity the veteran quarterback can expect to get in today's parity-filled NFL.
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